Research (Updated January 2024)
Publications and Manuscripts Submitted for Publication
Hu, Beidi and Joseph P. Simmons (2023), “Does Constructing A Belief Distribution Truly Reduce Overconfidence?” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 152(2): 571-89.
Past work says yes. Our paper finds the opposite.
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Hu, Beidi*, Siyuan Yin*, and Alice Moon, “When Goods Were Odds: Do People Evaluate the Same Option Differently if it was Previously Uncertain?” (* shared authorship) Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Consumer Research.
The influence of uncertainty persists even after its resolution, affecting how (sure) options arising from uncertainty are evaluated.
Hu, Beidi, Celia Gaertig, and Berkeley J. Dietvorst, “How Should Time Estimates Be Structured to Increase Customer Satisfaction?” Revise and Resubmit at Management Science.
Customers judge a digital platform (e.g., food delivery app, GPS app) more positively when it provides time estimates as ranges rather than point estimates.
Hu, Beidi and Joseph P. Simmons, “Different Methods Elicit Different Belief Distributions” Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.
Belief distribution elicitations are on the rise. We find that two functionally equivalent methods elicit different belief distributions.
To see a full list of my working projects, please see my CV.